Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.394028 0.449194 0.508111 0.575582 0.650570 0.731214 0.824357
2025-11-23 0.302385 0.377135 0.463036 0.568480 0.693812 0.837384 1.013615
2025-11-30 0.244500 0.331674 0.438857 0.578930 0.755587 0.969302 1.245524
2025-12-07 0.194130 0.285741 0.405923 0.572497 0.794350 1.076305 1.457826
2025-12-14 0.159518 0.253605 0.384719 0.576485 0.844699 1.200733 1.702096
2025-12-21 0.129075 0.221363 0.357743 0.567705 0.875161 1.300018 1.920450
2025-12-28 0.112622 0.206715 0.353172 0.588943 0.948042 1.461411 2.234234
2026-01-04 0.098798 0.193524 0.348398 0.608321 1.018794 1.624022 2.560398
2026-01-11 0.084494 0.176734 0.335136 0.612098 1.065130 1.753228 2.845902
2026-01-18 0.072232 0.161166 0.321365 0.612698 1.105371 1.874784 3.126500
2026-01-25 0.061657 0.146662 0.307126 0.610242 1.139406 1.987830 3.399758
2026-02-01 0.053188 0.134638 0.295472 0.610441 1.176947 2.107716 3.689432
2026-02-08 0.046009 0.124047 0.285254 0.612418 1.218292 2.237623 4.005091
2026-02-15 0.039090 0.112548 0.271520 0.606069 1.244089 2.343183 4.287362
2026-02-22 0.034799 0.106289 0.267529 0.617834 1.303176 2.508089 4.676174
2026-03-01 0.029691 0.096821 0.255239 0.611485 1.327784 2.614705 4.972539
2026-03-08 0.026086 0.090416 0.248695 0.615989 1.372952 2.759560 5.341172
2026-03-15 0.022160 0.082119 0.236464 0.606874 1.390494 2.855522 5.629355
2026-03-22 0.020502 0.080039 0.238733 0.629469 1.472609 3.073257 6.142152
2026-03-29 0.018897 0.077734 0.240086 0.650053 1.551958 3.289860 6.662631
2026-04-05 0.016718 0.073006 0.234528 0.654097 1.597177 3.444570 7.078049
2026-04-12 0.014679 0.068166 0.227888 0.654761 1.635064 3.586981 7.477017
2026-04-19 0.012788 0.063278 0.220297 0.652180 1.665525 3.716279 7.857043